WHL Playoff Push

Time to update a few things...


First, the "stretch records" idea for the West is being trashed....it was working on the assumption that you'd need 64 points to make the playoffs in the West but that just isn't going to happen, the way Seattle and Prince George have been playing. Now it's probably more like 54 points needed, and everyone else but those two teams is already at that point level. So it's unmathematically official: Seattle and Prince George will miss the playoffs. Everyone else will make it.


As for the East....we've been assuming 78 points would be required and that still seems accurate. So the required records in the East to get 78 points:


Saskatoon Blades: 2-19-0 (0.095)
Brandon Wheat Kings: 2-15-1 (0.139)
Medicine Hat Tigers: 3-13-0 (0.188)
Kootenay Ice: 4-15-0 (0.211)
Calgary Hitmen: 5-16-0 (0.238)
Red Deer Rebels: 8-12-0 (0.4)
Moose Jaw Warriors: 9-11-1 (0.452)
Prince Albert Raiders: 10-8-0 (0.556)
Swift Current Broncos: 11-7-1 (0.605)
Regina Pats: 13-5-0 (0.722)


Edmonton and Lethbridge cannot get 78 points and so they're like the Birds and Cougars - unofficially out of the race.


I don't know about you, but that 13-5 for Regina seems more intimidating all the time. Not much room for error left there. Of their remaining 18 games, they have to play 10 of them against teams .667 or better - and they can only afford to lose maybe five of those at most. And they play 10 of 18 on the road, where they are the 4th-worst team in the WHL. It's not adding up to a happy ending here.


Some actual "magic numbers" now...


Tri-City will be the first team in the league to mathematically clinch a playoff spot - they need a mere 1 point, or 1 lost point by Seattle, and it's official.


Everett's number to clinch a spot is 4.5 wins or Seattle losses.


Portland's number is 6 wins or Seattle losses.


Vancouver's is 6.5 wins or Seattle losses.


Prince George will be mathematically eliminated with 4 losses or Chilliwack wins.


Edmonton will be mathematically eliminated with 6 losses or Prince Albert wins.


And just for reference, the remaining schedules for everyone in the league....


Brandon
Home – (12) Red Deer, Kootenay, Regina, Swift Current, Regina, Vancouver, Chilliwack, Prince Albert, Saskatoon, Moose Jaw, Moose Jaw, Regina
Away – (6) Saskatoon, Medicine Hat, Calgary, Saskatoon, Prince Albert, Regina


Calgary
Home – (11) Medicine Hat, Prince Albert, Brandon, Prince George, Red Deer, Kelowna, Prince Albert, Swift Current, Saskatoon, Edmonton, Red Deer
Away – (10) Swift Current, Medicine Hat, Swift Current, Regina, Lethbridge, Kelowna, Kamloops, Red Deer, Kootenay, Edmonton


Chilliwack
Home - (6) Kelowna, Vancouver, Seattle, Tri-City, Vancouver, Portland
Away - (11) Tri-City, Vancouver, Swift Current, Regina, Saskatoon, Prince Albert, Brandon, Moose Jaw, Prince George, Prince George, Everett


Edmonton
Home - (11) Lethbridge, Kootenay, Regina, Lethbridge, Prince George, Kamloops, Kelowna, Red Deer, Kootenay, Saskatoon, Calgary
Away - (7) Kelowna, Prince George, Prince George, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat, Calgary, Kootenay


Everett
Home - (9) Spokane, Kelowna, Spokane, Moose Jaw, Portland, Tri-City, Prince George, Seattle, Chilliwack
Away - (11) Spokane, Vancouver, Spokane, Tri-City, Seattle, Spokane, Kamloops, Prince George, Prince George, Portland, Spokane


Kamloops
Home - (9) Lethbridge, Kelowna, Spokane, Seattle, Calgary, Everett, Vancouver, Prince George, Prince George
Away - (9) Portland, Spokane, Prince George, Kelowna, Tri-City, Edmonton, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat, Vancouver


Kelowna
Home - (8) Edmonton, Lethbridge, Kamloops, Calgary, Spokane, Seattle, Vancouver, Prince George
Away - (10) Chilliwack, Everett, Kamloops, Portland, Seattle, Lethbridge, Edmonton, Calgary, Spokane, Vancouver


Kootenay
Home – (9) Moose Jaw, Saskatoon, Swift Current, Spokane. Lethbridge, Medicine Hat, Calgary, Red Deer, Edmonton
Away – (10) Moose Jaw, Brandon, Regina, Edmonton, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat, Red Deer, Medicine Hat, Edmonton, Red Deer


Lethbridge
Home - (10) Saskatoon, Calgary, Swift Current, Kootenay, Edmonton, Kelowna, Kamloops, Moose Jaw, Red Deer, Medicine Hat
Away - (10) Vancouver, Kelowna, Kamloops, Red Deer, Edmonton, Edmonton, Kootenay, Regina, Moose Jaw, Medicine Hat


Medicine Hat
Home – (12) Calgary, Prince Albert, Saskatoon, Brandon, Moose Jaw, Kootenay, Kootenay, Kamloops, Moose Jaw, Red Deer, Edmonton, Lethbridge
Away – (4) Calgary, Swift Current, Kootenay, Lethbridge


Moose Jaw
Home – (8) Kootenay, Red Deer, Regina, Saskatoon, Vancouver, Chilliwack, Lethbridge, Swift Current
Away – (13) Kootenay, Spokane, Seattle, Everett, Portland, Tri-City, Medicine Hat, Lethbridge, Medicine Hat, Brandon, Saskatoon, Brandon, Swift Current


Portland
Home - (10) Kamloops, Seattle, Tri-City, Moose Jaw, Kelowna, Prince George, Tri-City, Spokane, Tri-City, Everett
Away - (8) Seattle, Prince George, Prince George, Everett, Tri-City, Seattle, Chilliwack, Seattle


Prince Albert
Home – (8) Saskatoon, Swift Current, Red Deer, Vancouver, Chilliwack, Brandon, Swift Current, Saskatoon
Away – (10) Medicine Hat, Calgary, Red Deer, Swift Current, Saskatoon, Brandon, Calgary, Red Deer, Regina, Saskatoon


Prince George
Home - (11) Edmonton, Edmonton, Kamloops, Portland, Portland, Seattle, Seattle, Everett, Everett, Chilliwack, Chilliwack
Away - (9) Calgary, Red Deer, Edmonton, Spokane, Everett, Portland, Kamloops, Kamloops, Kelowna


Red Deer
Home – (9) Lethbridge, Regina, Prince Albert, Prince George, Kootenay, Calgary, Prince Albert, Swift Current, Kootenay
Away – (11) Brandon, Moose Jaw, Swift Current, Prince Albert, Saskatoon, Calgary, Edmonton, Medicine Hat, Lethbridge, Kootenay, Calgary


Regina
Home – (8) Saskatoon, Kootenay, Calgary, Chilliwack, Vancouver, Lethbridge, Prince Albert, Brandon
Away – (10) Brandon, Red Deer, Edmonton, Brandon, Moose Jaw, Swift Current, Saskatoon, Swift Current, Saskatoon, Brandon


Saskatoon
Home – (11) Brandon, Swift Current, Red Deer, Vancouver, Brandon, Chilliwack, Prince Albert, Regina, Moose Jaw, Regina, Prince Albert
Away – (10) Prince Albert, Regina, Medicine Hat, Lethbridge, Kootenay, Moose Jaw, Brandon, Edmonton, Calgary, Prince Albert


Seattle
Home - (11) Portland, Moose Jaw, Vancouver, Everett, Kelowna, Portland, Tri-City, Spokane, Tri-City, Portland, Vancouver
Away - (9) Portland, Tri-City, Chilliwack, Kamloops, Prince George, Prince George, Kelowna, Tri-City, Everett


Spokane
Home - (11) Everett, Kamloops, Moose Jaw, Tri-City, Everett, Everett, Prince George, Tri-City, Kelowna, Tri-City, Everett
Away - (9) Everett, Everett, Kamloops, Kootenay, Tri-City, Kelowna, Portland, Seattle, Tri-City


Swift Current
Home – (10) Calgary, Red Deer, Calgary, Medicine Hat, Chilliwack, Prince Albert, Regina, Vancouver, Regina, Moose Jaw
Away – (9) Prince Albert, Saskatoon, Brandon, Kootenay, Lethbridge, Calgary, Red Deer, Prince Albert, Moose Jaw


Tri-City
Home - (9) Seattle, Chilliwack, Kamloops, Moose Jaw, Everett, Spokane, Portland, Seattle, Spokane
Away - (11) Vancouver, Portland, Spokane, Everett, Spokane, Seattle, Portland, Chilliwack, Portland, Seattle, Spokane


Vancouver
Home - (6) Lethbridge, Everett, Tri-City, Chilliwack, Kelowna, Kamloops
Away - (12) Chilliwack, Seattle, Saskatoon, Prince Albert, Brandon, Regina, Moose Jaw, Swift Current, Kamloops, Kelowna, Chilliwack, Seattle